I think that if pg can't even tell for sure what's going to be successful and what's not, really how surprised can you be that the common HN commented couldn't

I think that if pg can't even tell for sure what's going to be successful and what's not, really how surprised can you be that the common HN commented couldn't tell what's going to be big. If you're a startup and you're pretty sure there's a market for your product, people telling you their gut feeling really doesn't matter imo.