I think that's a bit of a strawman. The pattern described was that we are often wrong because there's some factor about which we do not yet have the slightest

I think that's a bit of a strawman. The pattern described was that we are often wrong because there's some factor about which we do not yet have the slightest clue. Given for how long we've thought that we knew everything, it should hardly be surprising to find out that there's more to things than we know.