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When the article talks about Bitcon's need to "survive," I interpreted it to mean "survive [as a currency]." Bitcoin makes a fine speculative trading vehicle fo
by jonnathanson 13y ago
When the article talks about Bitcon's need to "survive," I interpreted it to mean "survive [as a currency]." Bitcoin makes a fine speculative trading vehicle for those with the cojones to expose themselves to big positions. But as a currency, it does need to "settle down." Think about it from the perspective of a business intending to transact in Bitcoin and prepare for the years ahead. Inventory management, logistics, financial planning, and all the other necessities of running a business as a going concern are extraordinarily difficult when the currency one accepts is fluctuating this wildly.
Exchanges, such as the late Silk Road, do not hold their own inventory, and so those types of businesses make some degree of sense. (Even still, they'd have a very hard time attracting investment, if they ever sought it, because the company's fundamental financial position would change on a daily basis.)
But businesses other than open exchanges face some very serious difficulties when conducting business in BTC. This is one major source of the liquidity issue. The other is that speculative holders and traders far outweigh transactors in terms of the currency's total trading volume. BTC changes hands quite often, but not typically in the form of business transactions, which one would expect of a currency. Far more often it's in the form of buy and sell orders, like a commodity.