Meh. If you follow your local elections on election night, perhaps in the U.S., you'll notice an interesting pattern: the percentage of the vote really doesn't

Meh. If you follow your local elections on election night, perhaps in the U.S., you'll notice an interesting pattern: the percentage of the vote really doesn't change significantly between 10% of the vote counted and 100% of the vote counted. No matter which precincts report first, or how the bias is supposed to be (rural precincts support candidate X! minority precincts support candidate Y!), by the time 10% of the vote has been counted you have enough of a sample that you can call that particular race unless two candidates are very very close. If 10% of the vote counted says candidate X is winning 60-40, candidate X is going to win, and she's going to win with about 60% of the vote. I don't know (nor particularly care) whether the Iranian election was rigged, but this analysis doesn't show anything untoward at all.