4 ms·
This erroneously uses the life expectancy at birth rather than the life expectancy at <current age> - a common mistake. If my parents are 80, I don't expect th
by cecilpl 13y ago
This erroneously uses the life expectancy at birth rather than the life expectancy at <current age> - a common mistake.
If my parents are 80, I don't expect them to die in 1 year just because life expectancy at birth is 81. I expect them to live about another 8 years.
Use a table like http://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html http://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
- lifeformed 13y agoYeah, if you put in an age older than 81, it just says how much over that limit they are living. It would be more impactful to see a tiny number of visits remaining.
- arikrak 13y agoYou could also use WolframAlpha, e.g.: http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=life+expectancy+in+usa+of+80-year+old http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=life+expectancy+in+usa+... Though that's really the current life expectancy, no one actually knows future life expectancy, which depends on future technology.
- shoo 13y agoi wonder if life expectancy estimates change much when conditioned on the fact that you've had children. or if you've had children who can read english and can access the internet
- tempestn 13y agoYes, I came here to say the same thing. They tried to correct for it by stating how far past life expectancy they are if you enter an age older that life expectancy at birth, but if you enter, say, one year less than life expectancy, you get an estimate of one year's worth of visits, which is not correct (or even close, really).