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My favourite example of this is the Dunning-Kruger effect, in which people who are incompetent at tasks do not realize they are incompetent -- because they don'
by seldo 17y ago
My favourite example of this is the Dunning-Kruger effect, in which people who are incompetent at tasks do not realize they are incompetent -- because they don't know what competence looks like. So they assume they're doing "okay", or even above-average, even when objective tests show otherwise:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning-Kruger_effect http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning-Kruger_effect
I read at the time that the reverse is also true -- the very competent tend to assume similar levels of competence in everyone, so they are unaware how good they are. However, this wikipedia page makes no mention of that part.
- billswift 17y agoI've seen more about that. It turns out that the third quartile (50-75%) is the most accurate in self-evaluations. Interested readers might try browsing lesswrong.com and overcomingbias.com; especially older OB posts.