"Considering the probability that" could be read to mean "Considering the chance that", since probabilities are the measurement of chance. I believe that it wa

"Considering the probability that" could be read to mean "Considering the chance that", since probabilities are the measurement of chance. I believe that it was written to mean that. The idea that reporting people to law enforcement usually means that they will be killed is an uncharitable reading of the sentence, in my opinion.