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This is all great, but where does the number of 40 come from? After all Kurzweil said it'd be in 20-25 years and he's got more street cred :)
by eps 13y ago
This is all great, but where does the number of 40 come from? After all Kurzweil said it'd be in 20-25 years and he's got more street cred :)
- Udo 13y agoKurzweil is just a popularizer of this idea, which is an important part of the road ahead. If nothing else, this article illustrates that more and more people are beginning to see the possibilities on the road ahead. However, neither Kurzweil nor anybody else has actually enough information to make a solid prediction as to the time frame. Your guess is as good as his.
- tluyben2 13y agoKurzweill is 65, so he has 20-25 years to live probably in the currently system; figures he would say 20-25 years. The blog owner probably thinks he has 40-50 years more to live so is gunning for 40 years. I remember Larry Ellison mentioning 20 years for such a revolution in a speech some years ago. People are less likely to say 'in 100 years' if they won't make that themselves. 1000 years is easier to talk about than 'just' after you're dead yourself, but what would be the fun in saying 'in 1000 years' ; no-one would listen.