3 ms·
Your observation is only true if aptitude is an independently measurable quality. If the only way to measure aptitude is to say that those same x% of people mus
by vannevar 13y ago
Your observation is only true if aptitude is an independently measurable quality. If the only way to measure aptitude is to say that those same x% of people must have it because they succeeded, then no, it is not a fallacy.
- pg 13y agoAs someone in the business of measuring aptitude, I can tell you with some confidence that it is. (If it weren't, we could save ourselves weeks of effort each batch reading applications and doing interviews, and instead just choose randomly among the applicants.)
- vannevar 13y agoI certainly understand and respect your belief. But as far as I know, there is no objective proof that your filtering process is actually any better than choosing randomly. Consider a gardener who believes they can predict which seeds will bloom best. They select a few seed from a package, water and nurture them for weeks, then point triumphantly to the blooms and say, "See! They've done so much better than the ones I left in the package."