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>> It would indicate that "the market" believes there may be some technical non payment scenario over the short term It may seem ludicrous to an outsider, but
by hacknat 13y ago
>> It would indicate that "the market" believes there may be some technical non payment scenario over the short term
It may seem ludicrous to an outsider, but it makes sense that if the market believes that the odds of the 1 month being delayed are significant, but the odds of the 3 month being delayed are insignificant, the 1 month would see a yield increase.
If anybody has 10 billion dollars lying around this is an excellent arbitrage opportunity ;)
- zcarter 13y agoIf only LTCM were still around :(
- JumpCrisscross 13y agoNot sure if it was intentional, but this is precisely the trade that blew up LTCM. They bet on "convergence" in Russia's short-term debt. Russia repaid the favour by defaulting.