3 ms·
sort of. if i have 10 coins, 9 of which have 44.4% chance of heads and 1 has 100% chance, choosing a coin at random and flipping it has 50% chance of heads ove
by jpwagner 13y ago
sort of.
if i have 10 coins, 9 of which have 44.4% chance of heads and 1 has 100% chance, choosing a coin at random and flipping it has 50% chance of heads overall. sure, there is one outstanding coin.
the "fallacy" is true when you look at the whole rather than the individual factors, which include aptitude in some cases so i guess you're correct on the last point.