Right, that's just a prior. His probability is much higher given that he had two prior exits, is incredibly intelligent, his network is vast and resourceful, et

Right, that's just a prior. His probability is much higher given that he had two prior exits, is incredibly intelligent, his network is vast and resourceful, etc. Very much off-topic, but he's an anomaly in many ways...eg, I was incredibly amazed to learn that he and his former wife had twins and triplets. Wonder what the chances of that are. :)