I'd be very surprised if HTML 5 gains mass market share within 2 years. Unfortunately, the majority of businesses simply standardize on the browser that ships w

I'd be very surprised if HTML 5 gains mass market share within 2 years. Unfortunately, the majority of businesses simply standardize on the browser that ships with the desktop OS they use. That's why IE6 is still so pervasive, as most businesses use WinXP on the desktop. I suspect the next large corporate migration will be to Win 7 desktops and IE8 which again means no support. Mac users on Safari may have support but it'll be H264. The problem here is one with all technology - adoption rates drop significantly when a good enough solution is already in place. Flash does video well enough that most people won't see the need to change.