I've blogged a fun writeup of the math in the (unimportant and actually against Tesla) formal bias in evaluating a failure rate right after the first failure: h

I've blogged a fun writeup of the math in the (unimportant and actually against Tesla) formal bias in evaluating a failure rate right after the first failure: http://www.win-vector.com/blog/2013/10/estimating-rates-from-a-single-occurrence-of-a-rare-event/ http://www.win-vector.com/blog/2013/10/estimating-rates-from...