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Isn't this what http://betsofbitco.in http://betsofbitco.in does?
by gigq 13y ago
Isn't this what http://betsofbitco.in http://betsofbitco.in does?
- gwern 13y agoThey do, but extremely poorly. I criticize them in the OP: > One might wonder why I don't use the fairly active [Bets of Bitcoin](https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bets_of_Bitcoin https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bets_of_Bitcoin) prediction market; that is because the payout rules are [insane](http://betsofbitco.in/help http://betsofbitco.in/help) and I have no idea how to translate the "total weighted bets" into actual probabilities. Betting blind is never a good idea.
- joelthelion 13y agoIt's not a prediction market. It's just a badly-designed betting site.