3 ms·
I'm still waiting for a good Bitcoin-based prediction market. I think that would be a nice application for the cryptocurrency.
by joelthelion 13y ago
I'm still waiting for a good Bitcoin-based prediction market. I think that would be a nice application for the cryptocurrency.
- nyan_sandwich 13y agoA friend of mine is "working" on that. I can put you in touch if you want to encourage him.
- gigq 13y agoIsn't this what http://betsofbitco.in http://betsofbitco.in does?
- gwern 13y agoThey do, but extremely poorly. I criticize them in the OP: > One might wonder why I don't use the fairly active [Bets of Bitcoin](https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bets_of_Bitcoin https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Bets_of_Bitcoin) prediction market; that is because the payout rules are [insane](http://betsofbitco.in/help http://betsofbitco.in/help) and I have no idea how to translate the "total weighted bets" into actual probabilities. Betting blind is never a good idea.
- joelthelion 13y agoIt's not a prediction market. It's just a badly-designed betting site.
- mapt 13y agoI saw this mentioned the other day: https://www.predictious.com/ https://www.predictious.com/