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The error bars are from 95-100% certain. In science and statistics, this is pretty compelling. It's not guessing. There is a chance that the prevailing clima
by eatmyshorts 13y ago
The error bars are from 95-100% certain. In science and statistics, this is pretty compelling. It's not guessing. There is a chance that the prevailing climate science is wrong. It's not a very big chance. But it does exist.
- glenra 13y agoWhich error bars do you mean? The recent warming "pause" currently puts us outside the 95% error bars for nearly all of the individual climate models, demonstrating that either climate sensitivity is being drastically overestimated or natural variability is being drastically underestimated. (see the latest ClimateAudit post for pretty box charts and some analysis: http://climateaudit.org/2013/09/24/two-minutes-to-midnight/ http://climateaudit.org/2013/09/24/two-minutes-to-midnight/ )