Actually, I expect Moore's law to speed up. Yes Moore's law will end at some point, (in fact physics would tell us it must end this century) but it won't end wi

Actually, I expect Moore's law to speed up. Yes Moore's law will end at some point, (in fact physics would tell us it must end this century) but it won't end with the death of the silicon transistor and it won't play out the way people seem to think. Without the ability to keep shrinking silicon transistors, the industry will innovate in new directions. Eventually (perhaps after a period of relative stagnation in Moore's law.) they will hit on something that is economical and that allows further scaling (graphene? who knows?) and that's when things get really interesting. We've been using the same technology for a long time now with predictable, incremental improvements in shrinking the process. When we switch to a wildly new technology with wildly new characteristics and limits we're likely to see some order of magnitude improvements. It's this exciting transition period that will result, in my estimation, in not just the fastest growth of in the speed of new processors and memory, but a general uptick in the rate of innovation in the industry in general. We've gotten too comfortable with silicon for too long. Change is in the air.