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Likely yes, but what of it? The argument from the Windows/Mac analogy is that iOS is probably headed for some level of niche status. It's not even that Apple is
by leoc 13y ago
Likely yes, but what of it? The argument from the Windows/Mac analogy is that iOS is probably headed for some level of niche status. It's not even that Apple is necessarily toast (though they certainly came near to it in '97). That Commodore got toasted even harder shouldn't invalidate that argument. (Commodore's trajectory was weird anyway. They were gone before Win95, and they were arguably killed as much by the XOR patent, the Atari-Commodore bloodletting, Sega and Nintendo or DOOM as by the IBM PC or Windows 3.1.) Maybe RIM is the new Commodore? ;)
- protomyth 13y agoI guess my argument is the Windows/Mac analogy was always false. The Mac was a machine that has kept trending upward in numbers sold for many, many years never starting with some dominant position to lose. The Mac never lost its market share to Windows because it didn't have it to lose. Beyond that, I really don't think any of the old thinking actually applies to the current cellphone market as the software exclusivity problems of the PC era are not really an issue these days. The whole environment has changed and the connections matter more. In other words, we are closer to cars than PCs since so much of what we do is actually standardized (text, call, web browse) like roads and gas.