I don't know, I'm kind of skeptical that your language reflects statistical realities at all times. Have you never described something with the adverb "probably

I don't know, I'm kind of skeptical that your language reflects statistical realities at all times. Have you never described something with the adverb "probably" that actually had a less than fifty percent chance of occurring? If not, I'm not sure what it is about this particular usage that merits the increased scrutiny.