3 ms·
Carter Catastrophe : Calculating the Probability of Doomsday
- kqr2 17y agoThis is actually used as a plot device in Stephen Baxter's science fiction novel: Manifold Time http://www.amazon.com/Manifold-Time-Stephen-Baxter http://www.amazon.com/Manifold-Time-Stephen-Baxter /dp/034543076X
- slackenerny 17y agoPeter Coles has been applying Bayesian statistics to cosmology for at least fifteen years. In the following blog note he explains how Bayesian probability really is only a tradeoff by using Doomsday Argument as a pedagogical exapmle. http://telescoper.wordpress.com/category/bad-statistics/ http://telescoper.wordpress.com/category/bad-statistics/