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I don't know much about the cellular demographics so it is difficult to argue that but some of his 'gotchas' are a little silly. >One analyst predicts fewer th
by ianbishop 17y ago
I don't know much about the cellular demographics so it is difficult to argue that but some of his 'gotchas' are a little silly.
>One analyst predicts fewer than 150,000 units units at launch.
This is because Palm knows its audience. No one who wants a Palm Pre is going to sit in a line like they are waiting for Halo 2. Why would they overstock stores and allow media spin it as a massive failure before it even truly launches?
>The second major "gotcha" is that we're in a massive recession. People aren't buying phones like they would in better economic times.
This makes sense and all but the Pre isn't competing against the iPhones ALREADY sold. It is competing against the iPhone being released this quarter. Which will endure the same economic terms.
- ahoyhere 17y agoBut iPhones are showing huge gains among the lower income classes. And middle to upper class kids are getting them as birthday presents when they turn insert-teen-age-here. They have totally crossed the chasm. The Pre hasn't even begun. And the author makes an excellent case for why it won't. And here's one he left off: Apple has experience making this chasm-crossing happen. Palm does not.