>Think about how many wildly popular websites run with a handful of people. You're talking about the "Silver Bullet," [1] whether you mean to or not. There hav

>Think about how many wildly popular websites run with a handful of people. You're talking about the "Silver Bullet," [1] whether you mean to or not. There have been hundreds of attempts to reduce the complexity of development, starting in the '50s and continuing pretty much continually until today. And just as Fred Brooks describes in the book I linked, that kind of productivity increase doesn't happen in software. And won't happen in software. You do get ways of better managing complexity. Look at object-oriented programming, for example. That's a recent development, right? Sure, as long as you're old enough to consider the 1970s to be "recent." [2] Not me, thanks. ;) The best you do get is a single problem being solved in a somewhat general manner. The CMS gives us a generic web site/blog. Square and others give us easy commerce integration. And so on: Specific common problems solved really well. Yes, these are things that previously took many man-hours of time to create one-off versions of, but what happens is that people want more and more complex (and differentiated!) functionality in their web sites or apps. And that differentiation is by definition not able to be packaged in bulk. As soon as it gets interesting, I don't care how easy you've made the "language" that specifies it, you still need a programmer to implement it. Or someone who can think like one. And most people not only don't think like programmers, they firmly believe they can't think like programmers, and so refuse to even try to learn how. Or at the very least they have an image that programming is dull or dry or boring. There are still huge barriers to people entering programming en masse. And even if they did, it would be the lowest complexity jobs that would be harder to get -- the ones where the barrier to entry is really low. I work tasks a few tiers of complexity above those jobs; I'm not worried about being replaced by a new wave of college graduates any time soon. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_Silver_Bullet https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_Silver_Bullet [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Object-oriented_programming#History https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Object-oriented_programming#Hi...