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The most dangerous element that he, and several other, anti-polygraph coaches are teaching is that the polygraph itself isn't a very effective lie detector. Wi
by s_q_b 13y ago
The most dangerous element that he, and several other, anti-polygraph coaches are teaching is that the polygraph itself isn't a very effective lie detector.
With proper sensors, a skilled technician, and good data analysis it's pretty accurate for specific questions (e.g. did you beat your wife), but terrible for general queries (e.g. do you have any desire to take any action which would cause damage to the United States, her government, or her interests.)
Soviet agents routinely beat the polygraph during the Cold War (see e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aldrich_Ames https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aldrich_Ames, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marcus_Klingberg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marcus_Klingberg)
The usefulness of the polygraph for clearance purposes relies mainly upon the fact that people believe it works. Over 90% of information used to deny clearances is derived from voluntary admissions during the polygraph.
The truth is that Snowden used one of these services, and so now the government is shutting them all down. The particular company that investigated him for his clearance in Pennsylvania, which employs about 1,500 people, is also facing likely shutdown and serious charges.
Maybe, maybe, functional MRIs will give us real lie detectors, but until then it's really just a way to scare people while they're questioned by a skilled interrogator.
That said, definitely wouldn't recommend trying to lie. A good investigator is a pretty damn good lie detector all by him or herself.
Also, can we finally agree that wire-fraud, mail-fraud, and obstruction of justice are ridiculously overly broad statutes that basically make federal criminal jurisdiction universal?
- silho 13y ago>it's pretty accurate for specific questions (e.g. did you beat your wife) Funny that you would use that gender-specific example. As if women didn't beat their husbands/boyfriends.
- s_q_b 13y agoYou're right. A fairly large statistical portion of domestic violence is female to male, and the stereotype of the wife-beater has certainly led to a lot of false prosecutions against men (falsely accused of being the aggressor) and situations that police ignored until a female assailant escalated to deadly force. I used it because it's the standard placeholder of an unwitnessed violent crime in law enforcement discussions. Perpetuating harmful stereotypes is not cool in any case. Sincere apologies. I lieu of editing, since the time's elapsed, have some karma :)
- fsck--off 13y ago>The most dangerous element that he, and several other, anti-polygraph coaches are teaching is that the polygraph itself isn't a very effective lie detector. Dangerous for people taking the test or administering the test? Your comment seems ambivalent about the efficacy of tests. >With proper sensors, a skilled technician, and good data analysis it's pretty accurate for specific questions... but terrible for general queries... But is it accurate when used on people that have extensive training about how to beat the test? >The usefulness of the polygraph for clearance purposes relies mainly upon the fact that people believe it works. So why would telling people that it doesn't work be dangerous if it is "pretty accurate for specific questions?" >That said, definitely wouldn't recommend trying to lie. A good investigator is a pretty damn good lie detector all by him or herself. Good investigators have other skills use other things such as body language, speech patterns (e.g sudden shifts in tense when describing events), and facial micro-expressions (using systems such as FACS). So a good investigator wouldn't need a polygraph test.
- s_q_b 13y ago>Dangerous for people taking the test or administering the test? Your comment seems ambivalent about the efficacy of tests. Dangerous to the organizations that rely upon the test, in that lack of the belief in the efficacy of polygraphs decreases their usefulness as a screening tool. >But is it accurate when used on people that have extensive training about how to beat the test? No, its not particularly useful for any query if one has specific training in how to control one's physiological responses. The Soviets used general coaching, and I believe these modern firms are using biofeedback. >So why would telling people that it doesn't work be dangerous if it is "pretty accurate for specific questions?" The polygraph measures physiological indicators such as skin conductivity, heart rate, respiration, and muscle tension that are metrics of stress, stress being considered a proxy for deception. The greatest effect of the polygraph coaching is that it reduces the subject's belief in the efficacy of the test, thereby reducing the stress response during the testing, which in turn makes untruthful responses appear truthful. >Good investigators have other skills use other things such as body language, speech patterns (e.g sudden shifts in tense when describing events), and facial micro-expressions (using systems such as FACS). So a good investigator wouldn't need a polygraph test. All of those are useful techniques, as is voice stress analysis which is supplanting polygraph in corporate security, but all can be fooled. The biggest added advantage of all "objective" deception tests is that they increase stress on the subject, causing more indications of deception to leak through the facade. When people believe the tests aren't very effective, their efficacy decreases. The future is in functional MRI technology. Memory and fabrication are two very different mental tasks, and I would imagine the difference should be detectable with current technology, although I'm certainly no expert. The two firms I've seen in the space are Cephos and No Lie MRI, which are claiming ~97% accuracy (a useless number I realize, but the best I can find from their public information.)