3 ms·

Counting Down to the End of Moore’s Law

• grandalf 17y ago
  Doesn't this story run about once every 18 months?
  • RiderOfGiraffes 17y ago
    Ouch - you just made me snort coffee through my nose. I wish I could up-mod that dozens of times. It's interesting to go back to Moore's original words. Quoting from Wikipedia: The complexity for minimum component costs has increased at a rate of roughly a factor of two per year ... Certainly over the short term this rate can be expected to continue, if not to increase. Over the longer term, the rate of increase is a bit more uncertain, although there is no reason to believe it will not remain nearly constant for at least 10 years. That means by 1975, the number of components per integrated circuit for minimum cost will be 65,000. I believe that such a large circuit can be built on a single wafer. For reference, the transistor count has been roughly doubling every two years since 1971.
  • ableal 17y ago
    Using twice as many characters, yes.