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So the guy also predicts the death of Microsoft, whose OS and productivity software is used by governments worldwide. If there was ever a slow moving body, it i

So the guy also predicts the death of Microsoft, whose OS and productivity software is used by governments worldwide. If there was ever a slow moving body, it is government. If there ever was a body that could be lobbied against even good decisions, it is government. Nope, don't see MSFT "dying" anytime soon, even if they don't grow by much or even start shrinking slowly.

rhizome 13y ago
In four years we'll be able to predict the future.
brownbat 13y ago
Surface revenue just in: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/07/30/microsoft_surface_sales_disaster/ http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/07/30/microsoft_surface_sa... But you're still right... they get 1,000 bad decisions before they dent their cushion of money. Facebook, though, I'm less sure. Cringely has been calling it "the new AOL" for years, since its product seems to be a limited subset of what "Internet" provides. But then again, he's predicted that long enough to look suspicious. A bit like one of my favorite bits from Lenny Bruce - "I know marijuana will be legal someday because all of the lawyers I know smoke it." He may be right, but all those lawyers are probably retired. Cringely put peak-Facebook at 2014, can't wait to find out if he's right.