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What I'm pointing out is the mistake people make extrapolating from very few data points about the space of possibilities now and in the near future in a long t
by iamwil 13y ago
What I'm pointing out is the mistake people make extrapolating from very few data points about the space of possibilities now and in the near future in a long tail of possibilities for 3D printing.
Per your example, It may very well be that nothing in the long tail of things to make with a 3D printer will appeal to you right now, and not for a long time. You may very well be a late adopter. But that doesn't mean that the entire space is useless, and of all the possibilities of things to 3D print, none of them will be useful or appealing to you personally. However, it will SEEM that way to you, since, by nature of a long tail, only a sliver of it appeals to you. Until that sliver gets discovered, by yourself or someone with more imagination, it's easy to jump to the conclusion that nothing will be appealing, given the samples you've seen so far.
- anigbrowl 13y agoYou're not understanding me, or the issue. If the long tail is only a sliver, then people won't buy the actual printer, they'll purchase what they require from a 3d printing supplier that can deliver decent quality. there's no long tail for dot-matrix (impact) printers, for example; people who needed one got one, but most people rightly sat it out until better products were available.
- deleted 13y ago[deleted]