I could believe it after an organizational death penalty, a post-mortem like the Stasi got, a new organization with believable independent oversight, and prefer

I could believe it after an organizational death penalty, a post-mortem like the Stasi got, a new organization with believable independent oversight, and preferably real penalties for the people most responsible (powerful people, not scapegoats). I don't know exactly, but something along those lines. (The probability of this is infinitesimal, yes. But we're going to be offered some pittance, and it's worth thinking clearly in advance to tell how far it falls short.)