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July 2013 Mattermark Startup Index – Top 20 Startups by Stage of Investment
- rdl 13y agoI haven't heard of 3/4 of these (particularly no-known-funding, but even many of the the Series D+). I wonder if that means it's an effective index, surfacing things outside my "bubble", or if there's a problem with the selection process (or a problem with my perception of the industry, which is pretty focused on security and b2b, but I do use b2c stuff and have a pretty good memory for new services.)
- not_that_noob 13y agodmor - nice work. Is it possible to backtest your algorithm? Would it be possible to use wayback or something similar, go back two years and see what the algorithm predicts, and compare to actual? I'm sure this has predictive abilities, but wondering how strong it is.
- dmor 13y agoI'm actually not sure it is predictive yet, but I am not sure how much that matters. It is more useful for validating reality as it currently is today - startups are anything but reliable when it comes to generating consistent growth. I would imagine the later the stage, the closer to predictive this becomes but I wouldn't make any future claims on outcomes based on this. I think you could probably use it to determine the next round of funding though, so it is useful in the short term.
- ares2012 13y agoThe problem with this index is that it ignores B2B companies whose traction is not publicly visible. Companies like Box, Cloudera and others whose services are consumed by other companies under-index. For example, there is no way 23andMe would top Box.