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> The science behind it seems complex and because it relies so heavily on modeling The thing is that you don't require complex modeling to get global warming.
by akjj 13y ago
> The science behind it seems complex and because it relies so heavily on modeling
The thing is that you don't require complex modeling to get global warming. Energy comes to the earth from the sun. Energy's radiated out to space as infrared. Carbon dioxide blocks infrared and so increases the temperature.
As with everything, you can construct more accurate and more complicated models, but it's a myth that global warming only shows up as a consequence of the complexity. People had to start studying climate change for some reason, right? They did back of the envelope calculations first and then brought in the complicated models to try to quantify exactly the amount of climate change and what its effects would be.
Don't get me wrong, climate change has two big things working against it: the effects will not be observed directly for decades, and there's a lot of money from oil and gas which is fighting any attempts to take action. The former means that the evidence is based on modeling and the latter does everything it can to cast doubt on the models.
- gizmo686 13y agoBut what happens as a result of the increased heat and CO2? Does it lead to improved conditions for some plankton that causes the ocean to become more reflective of heat? Does it lead to some other gas being released that makes the atmosphere more reflactive? Does it accelerate the water cycle leading to increased cloud coverage, making Earth more reflective? Does it lead to the ice sheets melting causing the surface of the Earth to be less reflective. Does it free methane trapped withing the melting ice, increasing the greenhouse effect? Has the politicization nature of the environmental movement made finding good science difficult and a skeptical public justified? But, even given that the average temperature is increasing, what are the effects of that?