Bruce has a great point about how people overreact due to the base rate fallacy, but I'm afraid that it will forever be too subtle for legislators and judges.

Bruce has a great point about how people overreact due to the base rate fallacy, but I'm afraid that it will forever be too subtle for legislators and judges. My immediate thought is that if the base rate fallacy were part of their education, society would be better off, but legislators still have to play to their constituents and it's hard to have hope in that sphere.