If you're arrested or indicted, these make it clear: it's better not to have talked to the police. But I'm still looking for analysis of how talking to the pol

If you're arrested or indicted, these make it clear: it's better not to have talked to the police. But I'm still looking for analysis of how talking to the police affects the chance that they won't arrest you at all. If we're interested in P(trouble | talk to police) vs. P(trouble | don't talk to police), this part is just as important.