3 ms·
> especially a bipartisan block Yup, that's a biggie. Let's do a little simple arithmetic: Suppose Senator/Representative A is really popular and won by 55-4
by graycat 13y ago
> especially a bipartisan block
Yup, that's a biggie. Let's do a little
simple arithmetic: Suppose Senator/Representative
A is really popular and won by 55-45
at the last election.
Now along comes
"a bipartisan block" of 10% of the voters all
uniformly well up on their hind legs and
totally torqued over issue X. So, now
at the next election politician A and
their opponent politician B get to
split the 90%. Assume that this
90% again splits 55-45 for politician
A (here we are using the assumption
that the block was bipartisan). So now we have
0.55 * 90 = 49.5
0.45 * 90 = 40.5
for politician A versus B.
Then, if politician A neglects the block,
politician B gets the 10% and the
election is a win 50.5-49.5 for politician
B.
This is simple arithmetic for
a simple scenario but illustrates
the main point: A politician who
fails to take seriously a 10%
bipartisan block is well on the way
to a new career.