4 ms·
Would be pretty hard for Nate Silver to predict all 50 states of a rigged election with public poll data...
by endtime 13y ago
Would be pretty hard for Nate Silver to predict all 50 states of a rigged election with public poll data...
- akiselev 13y agoHow accurate was he down to individual districts though? I think most of our elections are rigged on a higher level than an individual agency's actions but there have been close elections where a few well thought out placements of CIA rigging ops could have (or maybe did :)) changed the outcome of major elections.
- LowKarmaAccount 13y agoNate Silver doesn't forecast House races because there isn't enough good polling data. He does predict Senate races; he was 31 for 33 in 2012. He predicted that Republicans would win in North Dakota (a 92% probability) and Montana (66% probability). Democrats won both races. Here is the link to his 2012 predictions: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/ http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-20...; Just click on the Senate forecast.