3 ms·
> Prince is hoping that the growth will not be steady-state but exponential, accelerating through the adoption curve. Even if that happens, however, CloudFlare
by nknighthb 13y ago
> Prince is hoping that the growth will not be steady-state but exponential, accelerating through the adoption curve. Even if that happens, however, CloudFlare predicts that full IPv6 adoption would take seven years, until January 2020.
> Not impressive.
Perhaps not impressive, but pretty much as-expected. RFC 2460 was finalized December 1998. I'm not sure why a 20-year +/- deployment process should surprise anyone for what is, ultimately, a telecom standard, one built before it was needed because we knew it would be.
Remember, APNIC is the first to hit its last /8 and only did so in 2011, and due to their exhaustion policy, hasn't exhausted that last /8 yet. Other regions are in better shape.
As we've always known, the big push will come when the IPv4 supply dwindles so low that it becomes reasonably impossible to accomodate new endpoints.