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Compare the Apple I to today's PCs. Compare dialup to mainframes to scaling out thousands of severs automatically in the cloud. These aren't linear changes. If
by ivankirigin 18y ago
Compare the Apple I to today's PCs. Compare dialup to mainframes to scaling out thousands of severs automatically in the cloud.
These aren't linear changes. If we're at goldfish level today, and we were at bacterium level yesterday, tomorrow could be a monkey, and the next day more intelligence than the whole human race combined.
I'm not saying it's going to happen, just that you can apply linear growth analysis to areas growing exponentially.
- JabavuAdams 18y agoOur rate of development is limited by how quickly we can make good decisions. Any decision support or "cognitive outsourcing" that is invasive will have to go through the usual approval processes before becoming widespread. It may eventually transform those same processes, but that will lag far behind the initial adoption. I can have a super-mondo-uber tool, but I still need to know what to build. If I need more than one person for my project, then I also need to be able to scale high-bandwidth human to human collaboration. None of these things seem impossible, it's just that closing the circle and applying these tools to ourselves slows things down tremendously.
- sown 18y agoFortunately, though, there are a lot of people making decisions about what to do. :)