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I'd posit that the great leaps that occur don't happen because of one individual thinking 50–100 years into the future, but due to masses of individuals thinkin
by zacharyvoase 13y ago
I'd posit that the great leaps that occur don't happen because of one individual thinking 50–100 years into the future, but due to masses of individuals thinking 5 years ahead.
The computer revolution came about because of many, many people working on slightly improving transistor technology, whilst others built compilers that were slightly better than their predecessors, whilst others still were working on very basic computer graphics, and so on. Added up over 50 years, those ‘short-sighted’ individuals’ accomplishments added up.
I guess I’m trying to say maybe the future will happen as a result of typical human behavior, not despite it.
- sliverstorm 13y agoIMO long-term vision is great and all, but only if you can concoct a realistic vision. This is why we are in a 5-year mode; nobody can effectively predict things like our manufacturing capabilities or even which countries will still be around 50-100 years out, so any plans you make would be worthless.