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This is probably relevant http://www.climatecentral.org/news/why-the-globe-hasnt-warmed-much-for-the-past-decade-15788 http://www.climatecentral.org/news/why-t

by jckt 13y ago

This is probably relevant http://www.climatecentral.org/news/why-the-globe-hasnt-warmed-much-for-the-past-decade-15788 http://www.climatecentral.org/news/why-the-globe-hasnt-warme... "The answer, according to a new paper in Geophysical Research Letters, is that a lot of it is being stored in the deep ocean, more than a half-mile down[...] [b]ut sooner or later it will inevitably emerge, which means that the current slowdown in warming may well be balanced by a period of rapid warming in a few years — nobody knows how many — from now." I think he meant that the global rate of increase in temperature has dropped, ie temperature has hardly changed in the last 10 years.

marshray 13y ago
> Ordinarily, heat trapped by greenhouse gases would warm the ocean’s surface water, but since warm water floats on top of colder water, the heat would have a hard time percolating to the depths. “You need something to push it down,” Trenberth said. That something could easily be strong prevailing winds, which can literally stir things up — or in this case, down. This article is claiming that "the Globe Hasn’t Warmed Much for the Past Decade" because the wind is blowing the heat energy down into the depths of the ocean?
- jckt 13y ago
  That's what they think, based on their CFD models. Before reading this I was thinking that, since warming has increased overall liquid sea-water volume globally, more CO2 was being dissolved in the sea or something, and that's why despite higher emissions more of it was being dissolved into the sea than going into the atmosphere. But then there is only so much you can dissolve, and that's why the last ten years of minimal warming is just a plateau.
  - marshray 13y ago
    Do these models yield testable predictions? Will they actually be tested against acceptance criteria defined in advance?

by jckt 13y ago

marshray 13y ago

> Ordinarily, heat trapped by greenhouse gases would warm the ocean’s surface water, but since warm water floats on top of colder water, the heat would have a hard time percolating to the depths. “You need something to push it down,” Trenberth said. That something could easily be strong prevailing winds, which can literally stir things up — or in this case, down. This article is claiming that "the Globe Hasn’t Warmed Much for the Past Decade" because the wind is blowing the heat energy down into the depths of the ocean?

jckt 13y ago
That's what they think, based on their CFD models. Before reading this I was thinking that, since warming has increased overall liquid sea-water volume globally, more CO2 was being dissolved in the sea or something, and that's why despite higher emissions more of it was being dissolved into the sea than going into the atmosphere. But then there is only so much you can dissolve, and that's why the last ten years of minimal warming is just a plateau.
- marshray 13y ago
  Do these models yield testable predictions? Will they actually be tested against acceptance criteria defined in advance?