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In the 1970s, when state lotteries were new, the Massachusetts lottery had a parimutuel payout, akin to horse racing -- whoever had the winning 4-digit number d
by CurtMonash 13y ago
In the 1970s, when state lotteries were new, the Massachusetts lottery had a parimutuel payout, akin to horse racing -- whoever had the winning 4-digit number divvied up a payout. Based, I suppose, on anecdotal evidence, some guys in the Harvard physics department judged which numbers were likely to be least popular, and bet those, getting a positive return.
However, this arbitrage quickly went away. It seemed that organized criminals started using the lottery as a low cost (indeed initially negative cost) way of laundering money, using a similar scheme.
The upside is that this turned into a kind of state income tax on criminal income.
- fyi80 13y agoThat's not arbitrage, that's like poker: players gamble against each other (effectively betting on what other people will bet on, with a bit randomization in the mix), house takes a cut of all the action.