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Fun fact: the stock used to buy GeoCities would still be worth billions of dollars, even if the vesting/lock-in schedule was extraordinarily long. Anyway, the
by InclinedPlane 14y ago
Fun fact: the stock used to buy GeoCities would still be worth billions of dollars, even if the vesting/lock-in schedule was extraordinarily long.
Anyway, the interesting thing about a lot of the big late '90s dot-com acquisitions that now look like sheer insanity is that they were all a product of everyone latching onto what they thought the current "big thing" was. Back then it was portals, aggregation, hosting, and ISPs. But it turned out that technological advancements erased a lot of the reasons why those things could be profitable (at least the way they were). Instead the next big things were search, web-apps, and social features (Web 2.0). Livejournal, blogger, flickr, google, google maps, etc. What people figured out, eventually, is that even if you have a million users that doesn't mean that it's easy to make even a million dollars a year.
Now, of course, there are lots of people who think they know what the "big thing" is, and companies are again shelling out billions for acquisitions, few of which will seem sensible in 10 years, or even 5.
- chris_wot 14y agoWhat will the Instagram acquisition look like in 10 years time?
- wilfra 14y agoIt already looks brilliant. Instagram now represents around 10% of FB users and Wall Street is assigning it a corresponding value of ~10% of the company i.e. over $6 Billion (just rough math to make a point).
- UVB-76 14y agoComparing one vastly overvalued company to another vastly overvalued company isn't going to help anyone.
- wilfra 14y agoI disagree FB is vastly overvalued. It's not undervalued but if they weren't producing real revenues and profits they would be worth ~what they have in the bank, like Zynga.
- mratzloff 14y agoFB is vastly different from Zynga and its earnings are only a fraction of the total valuation, which is based on hopes and dreams more than anything else.
- jonknee 14y agoWith the way FB's stock is going it will look cheaper and cheaper.