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While I enjoyed your joke, I'm not sure how the PC market fading can be ascribed to luck? The rise of consumer demand of smart phones coupled with most PC's hit

by jonpaul 13y ago

While I enjoyed your joke, I'm not sure how the PC market fading can be ascribed to luck? The rise of consumer demand of smart phones coupled with most PC's hitting a point of being "good enough" for the average consumer could be the cause. I'm not sure how that's luck. But I think most people in technology could have predicted that. I mean, it's pretty clear to me that this will happen for the next 10-20 years. Computers as we know them today won't exist in the same form in 20 years, they'll primarily be powered by smart phones. But don't come back in 20 years and call this event and whatever successful company to profit on this "lucky"... it's just, who is going to execute upon this vision to make it happen? That's exactly what Apple did with tablets. They saw the future as it should be and executed upon that vision.

ChuckMcM 13y ago
It's "luck" in the sense that the market randomly dumped phones, it's "luck" in the sense that the timing with general slowdown of netbooks and rise of smartphones was opening people up to the idea of a tablet, whereas in the early part of the century the mantra "why would I use it if I can't type on it" was dominating the discussion. I think you give Apple a bit too much credit, they did well with the iPad, they did poorly with the Lisa 2 and the Newton and X-Serve. Product development from concept to product takes years. Someone can predict what they think will happen, and they can plan for it (which they do) but whether or not what they think will happen is what actually happens is controlled by forces they cannot control.