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It's hard to understand even after reading about it :) . http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem And I
by GFischer 13y ago
It's hard to understand even after reading about it :) .
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem
And I did take probability classes (and passed :) ).
- cynwoody 13y agoI had the same reaction to the link. But, since I've been checking out the Go language, I decided to whip up a little simulation[1] to prove the claimed probability. And indeed, it is true: choosing the moderator's offer wins 2/3 of the time. [1] http://play.golang.org/p/7ua2ZCSuVD http://play.golang.org/p/7ua2ZCSuVD
- Alex3917 13y agoThe trick is to imagine the same scenario but with a billion doors. You choose a door, and then the moderator closes every single door except for yours and one other door. Then it's much easier to see why it's better to go with the other door.