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I wish more people would read Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Just as we could not predict in 1968 what the world would look like in 2009 - similarly we ca
by ankeshk 18y ago
I wish more people would read Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Just as we could not predict in 1968 what the world would look like in 2009 - similarly we can't predict what the world will look like in 2050 today.
I've heard some crazy predictions... world will end in 2012 (when the Mayan calendar ends)... USA will break down into 2-5 different countries and there will be a civil war there... the arctic cap will melt submerging all the major port cities: NY Tokyo Mumbai...
Not gonna happen!
- deleted 18y ago[deleted]
- randallsquared 18y agoWould you have predicted in 1975 that by 1995 there'd be no Soviet Union? Big changes and breakups do happen; they're inevitable over long enough. I'll agree, though, that prediction (especially of technology-affected things, which is more and more of the world) is getting considerably harder, and that that trend, at least, will continue absent some other radical change like an asteroid strike or a US police state.
- tokenadult 18y agoWould you have predicted in 1975 that by 1995 there'd be no Soviet Union? I know a man who is now a United States diplomat who predicted to me (when he was still a student of Chinese) in 1984 that the Soviet Union would be around well into the twenty-first century. Sometimes empires that have little press freedom are especially hard to make predictions about.
- orionlogic 18y agoThere is arctic cap meltdown and if the world stay as it is now, we might face its' catastrophic consequences. Thats why in his latest movie "Examined Life", Slavoj Zizek points out that humanity should cut his roots from nature and doesnt intervene its inner workings.