4 ms·

I will predict that this does not happen within the next 5 years, 85% confidence.

• obviouslygreen 13y ago
  Questionable confidence ratings aside, what you're betting against is a very narrow example of the many things that could happen that would push this through. It died once and is back; it got farther this time, and whether it's because of a hacking scare, because even fewer people are paying attention, or for any of myriad other reasons, it will eventually go through.
  • jaibot 13y ago
    It's the price I'd put on it if Intrade were still around.