This sounds a lot like Evidence Based Scheduling proposed by Joel Spolsky some time ago: http://www.joelonsoftware.com/items/2007/10/26.html http://www.joelons

This sounds a lot like Evidence Based Scheduling proposed by Joel Spolsky some time ago: http://www.joelonsoftware.com/items/2007/10/26.html http://www.joelonsoftware.com/items/2007/10/26.html The only additional thing he proposes is doing some montecarlo simulations to create a probability distribution of how long will the project take.