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When I hear that the FBI interviewed the Boston bomber a year ago, I don't immediately think of FBI incompetence. No, rather, I think, "Hey, the bomber had man
by johnvschmitt 13y ago
When I hear that the FBI interviewed the Boston bomber a year ago, I don't immediately think of FBI incompetence. No, rather, I think, "Hey, the bomber had many experiences & changes of mind, & is truly a different person a year hence".
I mean, are personalities & motivations & intentions truly permanent? C'mon, haven't we all changed as life goes on?
It's a fallacy to think you can ever 99.9% predict the future regardless of how much "big data" & "army of experts" you have.
That approach hasn't predicted the stock market within 70% accuracy, so how can we expect it to predict security issues any better?
We need to just realize that we're far more likely to die from causes other than terrorism, & just treat it like other crimes.
- danielweber 13y agoIf we drag the FBI over the coals for interviewing this guy and failing to stop him, we are shooting ourselves in the foot. Either the FBI is going to stop interviewing people, or they are going to start putting lots of innocent people in jail.