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Both situations are intuitive. High debt causes high servicing of debt causes inefficient use of private market resources paid in taxes. Additionally, slow gr
by crusso 14y ago
Both situations are intuitive. High debt causes high servicing of debt causes inefficient use of private market resources paid in taxes.
Additionally, slow growth causes lower govt revenue causes less incurring of debt to make up the shortfall in tax base.
Debt and growth are both inputs and outputs that are codependent. The degree to which they impact the overall financial picture depends HEAVILY upon the opportunity cost of the servicing of the incurred debt.
For bonus, consider what will happen to heavily indebted countries when interest rates begin to rise. Servicing of debt will become more difficult leading to a decrease in our ability to grow the economy, leading to more difficulty in servicing the debt, and on and on.
- inthewoods 14y agoWhile both are possible, this article performs an interesting analysis to show why the paper likely had the causation wrong: http://www.nextnewdeal.net/rortybomb/guest-post-reinhartrogoff-and-growth-time-debt http://www.nextnewdeal.net/rortybomb/guest-post-reinhartrogo...
- danielweber 14y agoThe original paper doesn't make any claims about causation at all, does it? I haven't read every single word, but the Abstract certainly doesn't say that. The closest the paper says is that high debt and low growth are "associated."