I seem to recall that something along these lines for political punditry was discussed in "The Signal and the Noise" by that chap Nate Silver. I think (but cou

I seem to recall that something along these lines for political punditry was discussed in "The Signal and the Noise" by that chap Nate Silver. I think (but could well be mis-remembering) one of his conclusions was that since these pundits are for entertainment value rather than serious prediction, nobody in charge of putting them in front of the camera cares much.