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'Making serious long-term money is rare enough among pros.' Data sources?

by Jd 19y ago

Alex3917 19y ago
Go to any investment bank. Take a look at every other desk except currency traders. You'll notice the average age is around 30. Take a look at the currency desk, and you'll realize the average age is around 50. Why? Bonds, stocks, exotics -- that stuff is all teachable. Give someone two years and they can learn to work the markets. Currency has basically zero theory surrounding it. The guys who are really good have no idea why they're good at it. It's basically all just trapped in their heads and they can't get it out. That's why the guys who are good at it tend to stick around forever and they end up being much older than the other guys on average.
- Jd 19y ago
  I once considered taking an $899 course on currency trading from FXCM.com, so there must be at least some people who think they can teach it and others willing to pay to learn. Also, with other i-banking specialties you need a larger supply train, including data gathering, analysis, packaging (as a fund) and marketing. With technical trading all you need is your computer and you. Why would a young person who is skilled at technical trading work inside an investment bank? How can you be sure that there aren't thousands of skilled traders making a killing from home? Isn't this sort of like hackers?
  - menloparkbum 19y ago
    > I once considered taking an $899 course on currency trading Why would someone who knew how to trade bother selling an $899 course? They'd be making 10-10000 times that, trading.
    - Jd 19y ago
      I also wondered this. Perhaps they like teaching?
      - alaskamiller 19y ago
        Because it's an elevated version of the good ol' SCAM. Akin to the "Learn how to sell on eBay" or "How to buy and flip a house" pitches that you see often. How good of an education can you buy for $899?
        Jd 19y ago
        Probably not a very good one - but what do I know I didn't take the course. Btw, I've heard from folks that flip houses that at least some of the workshops are legit.
    - kf 19y ago
      Because there is no risk in selling an $899 course, just profit.

'Making serious long-term money is rare enough among pros.' Data sources?

by Jd 19y ago

'Making serious long-term money is rare enough among pros.' Data sources?

Go to any investment bank. Take a look at every other desk except currency traders. You'll notice the average age is around 30. Take a look at the currency desk, and you'll realize the average age is around 50. Why? Bonds, stocks, exotics -- that stuff is all teachable. Give someone two years and they can learn to work the markets. Currency has basically zero theory surrounding it. The guys who are really good have no idea why they're good at it. It's basically all just trapped in their heads and they can't get it out. That's why the guys who are good at it tend to stick around forever and they end up being much older than the other guys on average.

Jd 19y ago
I once considered taking an $899 course on currency trading from FXCM.com, so there must be at least some people who think they can teach it and others willing to pay to learn. Also, with other i-banking specialties you need a larger supply train, including data gathering, analysis, packaging (as a fund) and marketing. With technical trading all you need is your computer and you. Why would a young person who is skilled at technical trading work inside an investment bank? How can you be sure that there aren't thousands of skilled traders making a killing from home? Isn't this sort of like hackers?
- menloparkbum 19y ago
  > I once considered taking an $899 course on currency trading Why would someone who knew how to trade bother selling an $899 course? They'd be making 10-10000 times that, trading.
  - Jd 19y ago
    I also wondered this. Perhaps they like teaching?
    - alaskamiller 19y ago
      Because it's an elevated version of the good ol' SCAM. Akin to the "Learn how to sell on eBay" or "How to buy and flip a house" pitches that you see often. How good of an education can you buy for $899?
      - Jd 19y ago
        Probably not a very good one - but what do I know I didn't take the course. Btw, I've heard from folks that flip houses that at least some of the workshops are legit.
  - kf 19y ago
    Because there is no risk in selling an $899 course, just profit.