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"All this means that on the scale of hundreds of years our population growth may actually look like a very steep sigmoidal curve. But of course, in 2050 our pla
by n1ghtm4n 13y ago
"All this means that on the scale of hundreds of years our population growth may actually look like a very steep sigmoidal curve. But of course, in 2050 our planet and species will look very different than it currently is. There is a limit to what our models can predict about the future population. It could be that the human population plateaus and stabilizes. However, in a world with more energy, more geopolitical stability, advanced A.I., and a larger extraterrestrial presence, our species demographics may begin to change in unexpected ways. For now, we may simply be relieved that Malthus and Ehrlich were wrong. We will not encounter a population bomb."
So we can't predict the future, but the other guys' 50-year predictions "were wrong" [sic] and my 50-year predictions are right. Did I get that right?
His argument can be summarized as "Everything will probably work itself out. Trust me, brah. I'm a futurist."